Blood cancer journalValidation Study
07 May 2025
The World Health Organization (WHO-5) and International Consensus Classification (ICC) acknowledge the poor prognosis of TP53-mutated (TP53) myeloid neoplasm (MN). However, there are substantial differences between the two classifications that may lead to under- or overestimation of the prognostic risk. We retrospectively applied WHO-5 and ICC to 603 MN cases harboring TP53 (variant allele frequency, VAF ≥ 2%). WHO-5 and ICC would not classify 64% and 20% of these cases as TP53 MN, respectively. Moreover, of those classified, 67.5% would be classified discrepantly. Primary drivers of discrepancies included: (i) prognostic importance of TP53 acute myeloid leukemia (AML), (ii) interaction of the blast percentage and allelic status, (iii) 17p.13.1 deletion detected by cytogenetics, (iv) complex karyotype (CK) as multi-hit equivalent, and (v) TP53 VAF threshold, we analyzed survival outcomes of each of these groups with an aim to provide clarity. TP53 AML was associated with significantly poor survival compared to TP53-wild type TP53 AML, myelodysplasia-related (AML, MR 4.7 vs. 18.3 months; P < 0.0001), supporting its inclusion within TP53 MN as a distinct subentity. Secondly, the survival of TP53 with blast 10-19% was poor regardless of the allelic status. Thirdly, for cases with a single TP53 with VAF < 50%, 17p13.1 del or CK serve as practical surrogates of biallelic inactivation, obviating the need for an additional copy number analysis. Finally, TP53 AML, MDS multi-hit/multi-hit equivalent with VAF < 10% had significantly poorer survival compared to TP53 MDS VAF < 10% without CK and 17p del, and were comparable to those with VAF ≥ 10% (14.1 vs. 48.8 vs.7.8 months, P < 0.0001). Collectively, these findings address key areas of contention and provide valuable insights that will guide future revisions of the WHO and ICC classifications.
Competing interests: MVS declares research funding to the institution from AbbVie, Astellas, Celgene, KURA Oncology, and Marker Therapeutics. D.H. is a member of the board of directors or advisory committees of AbbVie and Novartis. A.A.K. provides research support to Novartis and Astex. M.P. is a member of the board of directors or advisory committees of Stemline Therapeutics and receives research funding from Kura Oncology. P.G. is a member of the advisory board of AbbVie. N.G. has served on the Advisory Board for Agio and DISC Medicine. The remaining authors declare no competing interests.
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