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BMC medicineMeta-Analysis - Systematic Review

07 Jul 2025

Prognostic and predictive microRNA panels for heart failure patients with reduced or preserved ejection fraction: a meta-analysis of Kaplan-Meier-based individual patient data.

Background

Cardiac troponins and natriuretic peptides are benchmark biomarkers for heart failure (HF) with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) but have limited prognostic performance for HF patients with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF). Non-coding RNA-based biomarkers represent an innovative approach to risk-stratify patients and might address the unmet need for minimally invasive prognostic and predictive tools for HF development and HF-related outcomes. Our aim is to investigate the prognostic performance and risk stratification potential of circulating panels of microRNAs (miRNAs) in HFrEF and HFpEF.

Methods

A systematic search on PubMed, Web of Science, and Scopus databases was performed for studies reporting miRNAs as prognostic biomarkers in HF patients. A total of 22 studies pooling 5736 participants were included for quantitative analysis. KM-based individual patient data (IPD) analysis was performed in 12 studies (5064 participants).

Results

KM-based IPD analysis in HFrEF allowed the identification of a panel of four miRNAs (miR-27a-3p, miR-129-5p, miR-145-5p, and miR-590-3p) predicting the risk of all-cause death with hazard ratio (HR) 4.26 [2.68-6.76]. MiR-122-5p and miR-423-5p predicted cardiovascular death of HFrEF patients (HR 3.61 [2.67-4.87]). In HFpEF, miR-19a-3p predicted all-cause death of HFpEF patients with HR 2.23 [1.16-4.27]. Moreover, a panel of eight miRNAs (miR-17-5p, miR-20a-5p, miR-21, miR-23, miR-27, miR-106b-5p, miR-210, and miR-221) showed significant association with HF incidence (HR 2.14 [1.81-2.53]).

Conclusions

A comprehensive meta-analysis of KM-based IPD enabled the identification of unique miRNA panels predicting the incidence and severity of HFrEF and HFpEF, supporting the clinical usefulness of miRNA profiling for tailored healthcare and risk stratification in HF patients. Nonetheless, more rigorously designed longitudinal studies are needed to validate the clinical application of miRNAs as prognostic and predictive biomarkers.

COI Statement

Declarations. Ethics approval and consent to participate: Not applicable. Consent for publication: Not applicable. Competing interests: Y.D. holds patents on RNA biomarkers of cardiovascular disease and is a member of the scientific advisory board of the molecular diagnostics company Firalis SA. No other disclosures were reported.

References:

  • Berry C, Murdoch DR, McMurray JJ. Economics of chronic heart failure. Eur J Heart Fail. 2001;3(3):283–91.
  • Mosterd A, Hoes AW. Clinical epidemiology of heart failure. Heart. 2007;93(9):1137–46.
  • Groenewegen A, Rutten FH, Mosterd A, Hoes AW. Epidemiology of heart failure. Eur J Heart Fail. 2020;22(8):1342–56.
  • McDonagh TA, Metra M, Adamo M, Gardner RS, Baumbach A, Böhm M, et al. 2021 ESC guidelines for the diagnosis and treatment of acute and chronic heart failure: developed by the task force for the diagnosis and treatment of acute and chronic heart failure of the European Society of Cardiology (ESC) with the special contribution of the Heart Failure Association (HFA) of the ESC. Rev Esp Cardiol (Engl Ed). 2022;75(6):523.
  • Shrivastava A, Haase T, Zeller T, Schulte C. Biomarkers for heart failure prognosis: proteins, genetic scores and non-coding RNAs. Front Cardiovasc Med. 2020;7: 601364.

Article info

Journal issue:

  • Volume: 23
  • Issue: 1

Doi:

10.1186/s12916-025-04238-0

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